{"id":3032,"date":"2019-10-25T17:19:32","date_gmt":"2019-10-25T16:19:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2019\/10\/organic-agriculture-could-increase-climate-emissions-without-changes-in-population-and-diet\/"},"modified":"2024-05-08T12:56:51","modified_gmt":"2024-05-08T11:56:51","slug":"organic-agriculture-could-increase-climate-emissions-without-changes-in-population-and-diet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2019\/10\/organic-agriculture-could-increase-climate-emissions-without-changes-in-population-and-diet\/","title":{"rendered":"Organic agriculture could increase climate emissions without changes in population and diet"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull is-light curved-bottom\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-0 has-background-dim\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/farming-climate-change-3449647__480.jpg\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-post-image\" alt=\"Farming truck banner\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/farming-climate-change-3449647__480.jpg 720w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/farming-climate-change-3449647__480-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-cover-is-layout-flow\"><h1 class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-post-title\">Organic agriculture could increase climate emissions without changes in population and diet<\/h1><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-post-date\"><time datetime=\"2019-10-25T17:19:32+01:00\">25 October 2019<\/time><\/div>\n<p align=\"left\" class=\"lead\">A new study shows that converting all farmland in England and Wales to organic agriculture could increase greenhouse gas emissions because meeting the food demands of the UK population would require using more land abroad.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1731\" height=\"1154\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/dylan-de-jonge-9SjCXUq_qSE-unsplash_soil_resize.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4174\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/dylan-de-jonge-9SjCXUq_qSE-unsplash_soil_resize.jpg 1731w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/dylan-de-jonge-9SjCXUq_qSE-unsplash_soil_resize-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/dylan-de-jonge-9SjCXUq_qSE-unsplash_soil_resize-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/dylan-de-jonge-9SjCXUq_qSE-unsplash_soil_resize-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/dylan-de-jonge-9SjCXUq_qSE-unsplash_soil_resize-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1731px) 100vw, 1731px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p align=\"left\">Modern agriculture is a leading cause of\u00a0biodiversity loss, pollution, and climate change emissions \u2013 a global shift towards less destructive farming practices is widely viewed as essential. Organic farming is usually environmentally friendlier than intensive agriculture because it avoids synthetic pesticides and fertilisers and preserves soil health, including its carbon storage capacity.<\/p>\n\n<p align=\"left\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-019-12622-7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">study<\/a>, published in <em>Nature Communications<\/em>, found that if farms in England and Wales went fully organic, they would produce fewer direct emissions than conventional methods thanks to greater carbon sequestration. However, because organic crop yields tend to be lower, more food would have to be imported, resulting in more land being used overseas.<\/p>\n\n<p align=\"left\">As a relatively small country with a <a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/the-facts\/uk\">high population density<\/a>, the UK already relies on importing approximately half of its food. The authors estimate that switching to environmentally friendlier food production without a reduction in demand would require almost five times the amount of land that is currently used.<\/p>\n\n<p align=\"left\">Depending on what type of land is converted overseas, net emissions could rise by up to 56% compared to the conventional approach.<\/p>\n\n<p align=\"left\">The UK population is projected to increase from 65.6 million people today to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ons.gov.uk\/peoplepopulationandcommunity\/populationandmigration\/populationprojections\/bulletins\/nationalpopulationprojections\/2018based\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">70 million by 2031<\/a>, meaning an even greater reliance on imports. The effect of population growth on food demand is a\u00a0global concern \u2013 the study points out:<\/p>\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p align=\"left\">\u201cThe global demand for food is expected to increase by 59-98% by 2050. Given that land resources are finite, this implies more competition for land, and more-intensive food production per unit land area, whereas current organic systems are inherently less intensive.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n<p align=\"left\">Further intensification is the opposite of what is needed to fight the <a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/the-facts\/climate-change\">climate crisis<\/a> and halt the <a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/biodiversity\">sixth mass extinction<\/a>. As outlined recently by the EAT-Lancet Commission, only profound changes to our food systems could allow our growing population to be fed without causing devastating damage to the environment. Crucially, the report warned that if the global population exceeds 10 billion, as is projected to happen by the end of the century, this becomes <a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/landmark-diet-reports-neglected-message-address-population-or-starve\">\u201cincreasingly unlikely\u201d<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n<p align=\"left\">This study reinforces this message by proving that current UK diets and population projections are not compatible with environmental sustainability.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-share\"><a class=\"fb-share\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2019%2F10%2Forganic-agriculture-could-increase-climate-emissions-without-changes-in-population-and-diet%2F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nShare<\/div><\/a><a class=\"tw-share\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2019%2F10%2Forganic-agriculture-could-increase-climate-emissions-without-changes-in-population-and-diet%2F&amp;text=Organic+agriculture+could+increase+climate+emissions+without+changes+in+population+and+diet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nTweet<\/div><\/a><a class=\"li-share\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2019%2F10%2Forganic-agriculture-could-increase-climate-emissions-without-changes-in-population-and-diet%2F&amp;text=Organic+agriculture+could+increase+climate+emissions+without+changes+in+population+and+diet\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nPost<\/div><\/a><\/div>\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-light-blue-background-color has-background alignfull is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Related content<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-grid grid grid-3\">\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-post-teaser\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2018\/12\/how-to-feed-the-world-without-destroying-it\/\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3>How to feed the world without destroying it<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"431\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/aman-bhargava-268339-unsplash-768x431.jpg\" class=\"wp-image-2284\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/aman-bhargava-268339-unsplash-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/aman-bhargava-268339-unsplash-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/aman-bhargava-268339-unsplash-1024x575.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/aman-bhargava-268339-unsplash-1536x863.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/aman-bhargava-268339-unsplash-2048x1150.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/img>\n\t\t\t\t<p>A new report investigates the enormous challenge of feeding our rapidly growing population without further damaging our environment and worsening climate change. [UPDATE: Since this story was written, another major&#8230;<\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n\n\t\t<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-post-teaser\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2019\/07\/despite-economic-growth-billions-wont-have-enough-fruit-and-veg-by-2050\/\">\n\t\t\t\t<h3>Despite economic growth, billions won\u2019t have enough fruit and veg by 2050<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"288\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/fruits-and-vegetables-banner-768x288.jpg\" class=\"wp-image-2328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/fruits-and-vegetables-banner-768x288.jpg 768w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/fruits-and-vegetables-banner-300x113.jpg 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/fruits-and-vegetables-banner-1024x384.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/fruits-and-vegetables-banner-1536x576.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/fruits-and-vegetables-banner.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/img>\n\t\t\t\t<p>A new Lancet study analysing the gap between future fruit and vegetable supply and recommended consumption levels found that even under the most optimistic socioeconomic growth scenarios, there won\u2019t be&#8230;<\/p>\n\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A new study shows that converting all farmland in England and Wales to organic agriculture could increase greenhouse gas emissions because meeting the food demands of the UK population would&#8230;","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":2258,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[11,14,18,19],"class_list":["post-3032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-story","tag-climate","tag-environment","tag-food_water","tag-uk_population"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Organic agriculture could increase climate emissions without changes in population and diet - Population Matters<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2019\/10\/organic-agriculture-could-increase-climate-emissions-without-changes-in-population-and-diet\/\" \/>\n<meta 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