{"id":2949,"date":"2018-10-08T03:44:00","date_gmt":"2018-10-08T02:44:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2018\/10\/ipcc-report-we-need-net-zero-by-2050\/"},"modified":"2024-05-08T12:57:01","modified_gmt":"2024-05-08T11:57:01","slug":"ipcc-report-we-need-net-zero-by-2050","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2018\/10\/ipcc-report-we-need-net-zero-by-2050\/","title":{"rendered":"IPCC report: we need net zero by 2050"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull is-light curved-bottom\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-0 has-background-dim\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/power-station-374097__480.jpg\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-post-image\" alt=\"Power station pollution banner\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/power-station-374097__480.jpg 720w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/power-station-374097__480-300x200.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-cover-is-layout-flow\"><h1 class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-post-title\">IPCC report: we need net zero by 2050<\/h1><\/div><\/div><div class=\"wp-block-post-date\"><time datetime=\"2018-10-08T03:44:00+01:00\">8 October 2018<\/time><\/div>\n<p class=\"lead\">A crucial new report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says\u00a0limiting global warming to 1.5\u00b0C requires \u201crapid and far-reaching\u201d economic transitions. Disappointingly, the report does not call for action on population, but acknowledges that high population growth is a \u201ckey impediment\u201d to reaching climate targets.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Achieving Paris goals<\/h2>\n\n<p>The report, known as\u00a0<em>SR15<\/em>, states that global net human-caused carbon dioxide (CO2)\u00a0emissions must fall by 45 percent from 2010 levels by 2030 and\u00a0reach net zero (a 100% reduction) around 2050. These timescales are far shorter than had previously been thought necessary.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/COP21.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3884\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/COP21.png 768w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/COP21-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>Published today,\u00a0<em>SR15<\/em>\u00a0(also known as\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/sr15\/\"><em>Global Warming of 1.5\u00b0C, an IPCC special report<\/em><\/a>) was written and edited by 91 scientists from 40 countries who analysed more than 6,000 scientific studies.<\/p>\n\n<p>Its purpose is to provide guidance for the signatories of the Paris Agreement, adopted by 195 nations in December 2015, which aims to\u00a0hold the global average temperature increase to \u201cwell below 2\u00b0C above pre-industrial levels\u201d and to \u201cpursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5\u00b0C.\u201d<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Economic fixes<\/h2>\n\n<p>The report warns that we are currently heading for a 1.5\u00b0C warmer world as early as 2040, with\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2018\/10\/07\/climate\/ipcc-report-half-degree.html\">lasting and profound environmental and economic implications<\/a>. IPCC members said the next few years are probably the most important in humanity\u2019s history as government action (or inaction) based on these findings will determine whether we can avert large-scale catastrophe.<\/p>\n\n<p>The scientists outline the measures required to achieving these targets, which predictably involve overhauling our economies to break free from our dependence on fossil fuels.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Population solutions = climate solutions<\/h2>\n\n<p>In its 2014, the IPCC&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/ar5-syr.ipcc.ch\/topic_summary.php\">Summary for Policymakers<\/a> stated\u00a0 &#8220;Globally, economic and population growth continued to be the most important drivers of increases in CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion.&#8221; Whilst the current report does not recommend any specific action on population, there is a key message buried in\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/report.ipcc.ch\/sr15\/pdf\/sr15_chapter2.pdf\">Chapter 2<\/a>\u00a0of the report which states that \u201c<em>lack of global cooperation, high inequality and\/or high population growth<\/em><em>\u00a0that limit the ability to control land use emissions, and rapidly growing resource-intensive consumption are key impediments [to hitting 1.5 degree target].<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n\n<p>It also acknowledges that future population projections vary strongly based on what \u201ceducational assumptions\u201d are made and states that \u201c<em>An important factor for these differences [in population growth projections] is future female educational attainment, with higher attainment leading to lower fertility rates and therewith decreased population growth up to a level of 1 billion people by 2050<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The population threat<\/h2>\n\n<p>Contrary to commonly held assumptions, population growth is not on course to stabilise within a few decades.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1280\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/UN-projections-95-certainty-no-logo.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3873\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/UN-projections-95-certainty-no-logo.png 1800w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/UN-projections-95-certainty-no-logo-300x213.png 300w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/UN-projections-95-certainty-no-logo-1024x728.png 1024w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/UN-projections-95-certainty-no-logo-768x546.png 768w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/UN-projections-95-certainty-no-logo-1536x1092.png 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>The United Nations\u2019\u00a0<em>World Population Prospects 2017\u00a0<\/em>report\u2019s 95% certainty range shows\u00a0<strong>no plateauing of human population growth by the end of this century,<\/strong>except at the lowest end of the range. Additional projections within the report show that with changes of just half-a-child on average more or less per family than its central projection, population in 2050 could be as low as 8.8bn and as high as 10.8bn and in 2100, as low as 7.3bn and as high as 16.5bn.<\/p>\n\n<p>It is disappointing that the authors did not take this argument further and call for strong investment in women\u2019s education and empowerment\u2014a key measure to combat climate change. Educating girls and family planning together are the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.drawdown.org\/solutions\">number one most effective solution<\/a>\u00a0to reduce global CO2 emissions.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Using all options<\/h2>\n\n<p>Population Matters director Robin Maynard said:<\/p>\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>\u201cPopulation is identified in the IPCC\u2019s report as among the most significant variables in reaching our climate goals. In the face of the crisis so starkly illuminated by the report, it is crazy to stand passively by and see how it pans out. The good news is that addressing population brings multiple other benefits. What we want is more women\u2019s empowerment, more modern family planning, more education, more people moving out of poverty and action taken to encourage and incentivise smaller families. These are voluntary, ethical, effective and practical solutions which everyone can and should endorse.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n<p><em>\u201cAt its press conference in Incheon, the panel said\u00a0<strong>\u2018All options need to be exercised\u2026 We can make choices about how much of each option we use\u2026 but the idea you can leave anything out is impossible.\u2019\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0The time to leave out population is long, long gone. Governments, environmental NGOs, intergovernmental organisations and us all, as individuals, must take action now.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-share\"><a class=\"fb-share\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2018%2F10%2Fipcc-report-we-need-net-zero-by-2050%2F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nShare<\/div><\/a><a class=\"tw-share\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2018%2F10%2Fipcc-report-we-need-net-zero-by-2050%2F&amp;text=IPCC+report%3A+we+need+net+zero+by+2050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nTweet<\/div><\/a><a class=\"li-share\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2018%2F10%2Fipcc-report-we-need-net-zero-by-2050%2F&amp;text=IPCC+report%3A+we+need+net+zero+by+2050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nPost<\/div><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A crucial new report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says\u00a0limiting global warming to 1.5\u00b0C requires \u201crapid and far-reaching\u201d economic transitions. Disappointingly, the report does not call for&#8230;","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":2238,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[11,14,22],"class_list":["post-2949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-story","tag-climate","tag-environment","tag-world_population"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>IPCC report: we need net zero by 2050 - Population Matters<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2018\/10\/ipcc-report-we-need-net-zero-by-2050\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IPCC report: we need net zero by 2050 - Population Matters\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A crucial new report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says\u00a0limiting global warming to 1.5\u00b0C requires \u201crapid and far-reaching\u201d economic transitions. 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