{"id":2927,"date":"2018-10-18T10:14:08","date_gmt":"2018-10-18T09:14:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2018\/10\/report-ageing-populations-are-good\/"},"modified":"2025-09-22T09:07:49","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T08:07:49","slug":"report-ageing-populations-are-good","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2018\/10\/report-ageing-populations-are-good\/","title":{"rendered":"Report: Ageing populations are good"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull is-light curved-bottom\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-0 has-background-dim\" style=\"background-color:#818a93\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"722\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/OLD-GROUP.jpg\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-post-image\" alt=\"Old ride banner\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/OLD-GROUP.jpg 722w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/OLD-GROUP-300x199.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 722px) 100vw, 722px\" \/><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-cover-is-layout-flow\"><h1 class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-post-title\">Report: Ageing populations are good<\/h1><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-post-date\"><time datetime=\"2018-10-18T10:14:08+01:00\">18 October 2018<\/time><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"lead\">A new&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.researchgate.net\/publication\/328324043_Aging_Human_Populations_Good_for_Us_Good_for_the_Earth\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">opinion paper<\/a>&nbsp;published in&nbsp;Trends in Ecology &amp; Evolution&nbsp;argues that societies should embrace ageing populations instead of fearing them. The authors demonstrate multiple socio-economic and environmental benefits of shrinking, ageing populations and that associated costs are manageable. Promoting unchecked population growth as is currently the norm pushes humanity further and further away from achieving lasting societal and environmental good health.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Fear-mongering<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The media often describes decreasing fertility rates as a \u201clooming disaster\u201d because of how they increase the proportion of elderly people within a population, potentially triggering an economic downturn. This pervasive narrative has had a significant effect on public opinion, with many people more concerned about demographic ageing than about the destructive effect of our rapidly growing population on our finite planet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Currently, only 14% of countries have declining populations, including Japan, Estonia, and the Czech Republic but the UN estimates that this will increase to 32% of countries by 2050. Population decline is an \u201c<em>achievement, misdescribed as a problem<\/em>\u201c, according to the authors of the paper.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Unfounded concerns<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Concerns about the impacts of ageing can be grouped into three categories: worker shortages, expenditure on health services, and shortfalls in pension funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"724\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/old-people.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3992\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/old-people.jpg 724w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/old-people-300x199.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 724px) 100vw, 724px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Reviewing the literature, the authors found no evidence that an older population leads to too few workers to meet employment demands. In fact, as evidenced by high-income countries, ageing is not related to the proportion of total population employed nor to changes in GDP per capita. In contrast, countries with the youngest populations as a result of high fertility rates often have very high youth unemployment and stagnating wages. The paper argues that people living in shrinking societies do better economically, socially, and environmentally than they would in a fast-growing country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Health costs do increase with ageing populations, but this will be much less than is implied, according to the authors. As longevity is increasing, people remain healthy and active for longer and can contribute a lot to society, both&nbsp;in paid work and care-giver roles. In addition, better investment in preventative health care would decrease old-age health care spending as well as all other diagnostic and treatment costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Regarding pension funds, the authors argue that increased costs could be at least&nbsp;partly offset by the economic benefits of the shrinking cohort of young dependents and decreased population growth. Additional offsets could be made by making it easier for people to retire at older ages, or even giving them higher pensions for doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Additional benefits<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The paper states that endlessly trying to \u201cdilute\u201d older citizens with ever bigger youth cohorts is a \u2018Ponzi scheme\u2019 that has little effect on ageing or economic challenges. Instead it exacerbates all environmental problems and fuels societal crises, such as housing shortages and overstretched public services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The socio-economic and environmental costs of unchecked population growth far outweigh any disadvantages of an ageing demographic. Older people usually consume less each than younger people, meaning we are more likely to meet emissions reduction targets with older populations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Meeting climate goals<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"768\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/POPULATION-and-CO2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3883\" srcset=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/POPULATION-and-CO2.png 768w, https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/POPULATION-and-CO2-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The new IPCC report acknowledges that limiting global warming to 1.5 \u00b0C will not be achievable under rapid population growth\u2014avoiding dangerous climate change,&nbsp;resource wars, and ecosystem collapse all depend on achieving a more sustainable human population size.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The IPCC panel stated that \u201c<em>All options need to be exercised\u2026 We can make choices about how much of each option we use\u2026 but the idea you can leave anything out is impossible.<\/em>\u201d Now more than ever we need to incorporate&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/solutions\">measures to reduce and ultimately reverse unsustainable population growth<\/a>&nbsp;into all efforts to prevent catastrophic climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We thank Frank G\u00f6tmark, Philip Cafaro, and Jane O\u2019Sullivan (a member of Population Matters\u2019&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/advisory-council\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">advisory council<\/a>) for their important work demonstrating that ageing populations pose an opportunity, not a problem, and that the world must not be deterred by \u201cmisguided economic arguments\u201d or other excuses to keep ignoring the elephant in the room.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The full paper,&nbsp;<em>Ageing Human Populations: Good for Us, Good for the Earth<\/em>, is freely available&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cell.com\/trends\/ecology-evolution\/fulltext\/S0169-5347(18)30208-8\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-popmat-share\"><a class=\"fb-share\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2018%2F10%2Freport-ageing-populations-are-good%2F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nShare<\/div><\/a><a class=\"tw-share\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2018%2F10%2Freport-ageing-populations-are-good%2F&amp;text=Report%3A+Ageing+populations+are+good\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nTweet<\/div><\/a><a class=\"li-share\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/shareArticle?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpopulationmatters.org%2Fnews%2F2018%2F10%2Freport-ageing-populations-are-good%2F&amp;text=Report%3A+Ageing+populations+are+good\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><div>\n  \nPost<\/div><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A new&nbsp;opinion paper&nbsp;published in&nbsp;Trends in Ecology &amp; Evolution&nbsp;argues that societies should embrace ageing populations instead of fearing them. The authors demonstrate multiple socio-economic and environmental benefits of shrinking, ageing populations&#8230;","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":2280,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[13,14,22],"class_list":["post-2927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news-story","tag-economics","tag-environment","tag-world_population"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Report: Ageing populations are good - Population Matters<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/populationmatters.org\/news\/2018\/10\/report-ageing-populations-are-good\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Report: Ageing populations are good - Population Matters\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A new&nbsp;opinion paper&nbsp;published in&nbsp;Trends in Ecology &amp; Evolution&nbsp;argues that societies should embrace ageing populations instead of fearing them. 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